Analytical Research on Stock Market Returns

This is a very interesting message I received.

Analysis of the last ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฏ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฆ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ฆ๐—˜๐—ซ

๐Ÿ”ฐ There were around ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ,๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜†๐˜€ in the last 43 years.

Observations on positive and negative return occurrences.

๐——๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜† – 53% time Positive and 47% time Negative.

๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐—น๐˜† – 56% time Positive and 44% time Negative

๐— ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ต๐—น๐˜† – 61% time Positive and 39% time Negative

๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜†- 64% time Positive and 36% time Negative

๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜† – 72% time Positive and 28% time Negative

๐Ÿฏ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ – 89% time Positive and 11% time Negative

๐Ÿฑ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€- 96% time Positive and 4% time Negative

๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€- 100% time Positive and 0% time Negative

๐Ÿ”ฐ SENSEX delivered ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ.๐Ÿฑ% ๐—–๐—”๐—š๐—ฅ returns over the last 43 years.

๐Ÿ”ฐ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€ dispersion (CAGR)

๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต๐Ÿด๐Ÿฌ-๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต๐Ÿต๐Ÿฌ – 21.6%
๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต๐Ÿต๐Ÿฌ-๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ – 14.3%
๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ-๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ -17.8%
๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ-๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ – 8.8%.*
2020~ 2022 – 24.8%

๐Ÿ”ฐ BSE Sensex returns 15.5%, if we add an average dividend yield of 1.4% for the last 43 years.

๐Ÿ”ฐ Longest ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€ was from 1994 to 2003. 9 years in total.

๐Ÿ”ฐ Since 2002, in the last 18 years ๐—ก๐—ข ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐—น๐—ฒ ๐Ÿณ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐˜€.

This means since 2002 if you ever invested and kept money for a minimum period of 7 years then you would have ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜†.

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